Chine/Démographie : Pourquoi les autorités portent-ils le nombre d’enfants par couple à trois ?
La politique nataliste semble être désuète désormais en Chine.
5 ans, seulement, après avoir porté à deux le nombre d’enfants par couple, les autorités du pays prennent à nouveau une décision.
À l’issue d’une réunion de haute sphère organisé par le politburo chinois, auquel aurait pris part le Chef de l’état chinois Xi Jinping lui-même, la Chine permettra désormais à ses citoyens d’avoir jusqu’à 3 enfants par couple et par personne.
Selon l’information rapportée par le média d’état chinois Xinhua, le but d’un tel revirement serait alors d’ » optimiser davantage la politique de la natalité. La Chine mettra en œuvre une politique d’un couple marié pouvant avoir trois enfants ».
Après l’annonce faite, les sondages montrent que la population n’est pas du tout intéressée. Selon le quotidien de Hong Kong « De nombreux Chinois ont déclaré qu’ils ne voulaient pas plus d’enfants, à cause du coût de la vie élevé et parce qu’un troisième enfant est un investissement ».
Mais somme toute, cette politique aura une incidence démographique peu ou prou. Rappelons-le, en 2016, lorsque la Chine mettait fin à la politique d’enfant unique, les réactions étaient les mêmes. Bourdonnements, incompréhensions, rejets. Mais au final, le taux de natalité avait bondi dans les trois premières années.
Le vieillissement de la population est l’un des défis auxquels font face tous les pays ayant adopté une politique restrictive des naissances. C’est pourquoi la CEDEAO se doit d’être plus sage sur sa politique nataliste.
Une Chine moins peuplée donnera plus de poids à l’Afrique en tant que marché de consommation. D’où l’urgence de maintenir le cap.
Malcolm
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